WORD
鏍煎紡鍙紪杈?/p>
涓撲笟鐭ヨ瘑鍒嗕韩
涓粙鏁堝簲閲嶈鐞嗚鍙婃搷浣滃姟瀹?/p>
涓�銆佷腑浠嬫晥搴旀杩?/p>
涓粙鏁堝簲鏄寚鍙橀噺闂寸殑褰卞搷鍏崇郴锛?/p>
X
鈫?/p>
Y
锛変笉鏄洿鎺ョ殑鍥犳灉閾惧叧绯昏�屾槸閫氳繃涓�涓垨涓�涓互涓婂彉
閲?/p>
(M)
鐨勯棿鎺ュ奖鍝嶄骇鐢熺殑锛?/p>
姝ゆ椂鎴戜滑绉?/p>
M
涓轰腑浠嬪彉閲忥紝
鑰?/p>
X
閫氳繃
M
瀵?/p>
Y
浜х敓鐨勭殑闂存帴褰卞搷绉颁负涓?/p>
浠嬫晥搴斻�備腑浠嬫晥搴旀槸闂存帴鏁堝簲鐨勪竴绉嶏紝妯″瀷涓湪鍙湁涓�涓腑浠嬪彉閲忕殑鎯呭喌涓嬶紝涓粙鏁堝簲绛変簬闂?/p>
鎺ユ晥搴旓紱褰撲腑浠嬪彉閲忎笉姝竴涓殑鎯呭喌涓嬶紝涓粙鏁堝簲鐨勪笉绛変簬闂存帴鏁堝簲锛屾鏃堕棿鎺ユ晥搴斿彲浠ユ槸閮?/p>
鍒嗕腑浠嬫晥搴旂殑鍜屾垨鎵�鏈変腑浠嬫晥搴旂殑鎬诲拰銆傚湪蹇冪悊瀛︾爺绌跺綋涓紝鍙橀噺闂寸殑鍏崇郴寰堝皯鏄洿鎺ョ殑锛屾洿
甯歌鐨勬槸闂存帴褰卞搷锛岃澶氬績鐞嗚嚜鍙橀噺鍙兘瑕侀�氳繃涓粙鍙橀噺浜х敓瀵瑰洜鍙橀噺鐨勫奖鍝嶏紝鑰岃繖甯稿父琚爺
绌惰�呮墍蹇借銆備緥濡傦紝澶у鐢熷氨涓氬帇鍔涗笌鎷╀笟琛屼负涔嬮棿鐨勫叧绯诲線寰�涓嶆槸鐩存帴鐨勶紝鑰屾洿鏈夊彲鑳藉瓨鍦?/p>
濡備笅鍏崇郴锛?/p>
鈼?
1
灏变笟鍘嬪姏鈫掍釜浣撳帇鍔涘簲瀵光啋鎷╀笟琛屼负鍙嶅簲銆?/p>
姝ゆ椂涓綋璁ょ煡璇勪环灏辨垚涓轰簡杩欎竴鍥犳灉閾惧綋涓殑涓粙鍙橀噺銆?/p>
鍦ㄥ疄闄呯爺绌跺綋涓紝
涓粙鍙橀噺鐨勬彁鍑?/p>
闇�瑕佺悊璁轰緷鎹垨缁忛獙鏀寔锛屼互涓婅堪鍥犳灉閾句负渚嬶紝涔熷畬鍏ㄦ湁鍙兘瀛樺湪鍙﹀涓�浜涗腑浠嬪洜鏋滈摼濡備笅锛?/p>
鈼?
2
灏变笟鍘嬪姏鈫掍釜浣撴嫨涓氭湡鏈涒啋鎷╀笟琛屼负鍙嶅簲锛?/p>
鈼?
3
灏变笟鍘嬪姏鈫掍釜浣撶敓娑鍒掆啋鎷╀笟琛屼负鍙嶅簲锛?/p>
鍥犳锛岀爺绌惰�呭彲浠ユ洿鍏疯嚜宸辩殑鐮旂┒闇�瑕佺爺绌朵笉鍚岀殑涓粙鍏崇郴銆傚綋鐒跺湪澶嶆潅涓粙妯″瀷涓紝涓粙
鍙橀噺寰�寰�涓嶆涓�涓紝鑰屼笖涓粙鍙橀噺鍜岃皟鑺傚彉閲忎篃閮芥湁鍙兘鍚屾椂瀛樺湪锛屽鑷村悓涓�涓ā鍨嬩腑鍗虫湁涓?/p>
浠嬫晥搴斿張鏈夎皟鑺傛晥搴旓紝鑰屾鏃跺妯″瀷鐨勬楠屼篃鏇村鏉傘�?/p>
浠ユ渶绠�鍗曠殑涓夊彉閲忎负渚嬶紝鍋囪鎵�鏈夌殑鍙橀噺閮藉凡缁忎腑蹇冨寲锛屽垯涓粙鍏崇郴鍙互鐢ㄥ洖褰掓柟绋嬭〃绀?/p>
濡備笅锛?/p>
Y=cx+e
1
1)
M=ax+e
2
2)
Y=c
鈥?/p>
x+bM+e
3
3)
涓婅堪
3
涓柟绋嬫ā鍨嬪浘鍙婂搴旀柟绋嬪涓嬶細
浜屻�?/p>
涓粙鏁堝簲妫�楠屾柟娉?/p>
涓粙鏁堝簲鐨勬楠屼紶缁熶笂鏈変笁绉嶆柟娉曪紝鍒嗗埆鏄緷娆℃楠屾硶銆佺郴鏁颁箻绉」妫�楠屾硶鍜屽樊寮傛楠屾硶锛?/p>
涓嬮潰绠�瑕佷粙缁嶄笅杩欎笁绉嶆柟娉曪細
1.
渚濇妫�楠屾硶锛?/p>
causual
steps
锛?/p>
銆備緷娆℃楠屾硶鍒嗗埆妫�楠屼笂杩?/p>
1
锛?/p>
2
锛?/p>
3
锛変笁涓柟绋嬩腑鐨勫洖褰掔郴鏁帮紝
绋嬪簭濡備笅锛?/p>
1.1
棣栧厛妫�楠屾柟绋?/p>
1
锛?/p>
y=cx+ e
1
锛屽鏋?/p>
c
鏄捐憲锛?/p>
H
0
:c=0
琚嫆缁濓級
锛屽垯缁х画妫�楠屾柟绋?/p>
2
锛?/p>
锛屽鏋?/p>
c
涓嶆樉钁楋紙璇存槑
X
瀵?/p>
Y
鏃犲奖鍝嶏級
锛屽垯鍋滄涓粙鏁堝簲妫�楠岋紱
1.2
鍦?/p>
c
鏄捐憲鎬ф楠岄�氳繃鍚庯紝缁х画妫�楠屾柟绋?/p>
2
锛?/p>
M=ax+e
2
锛屽鏋?/p>
a
鏄捐憲锛?/p>
H
0
:a=0
琚嫆缁濓級
锛屽垯
缁х画妫�楠屾柟绋?/p>
3
锛?/p>
锛涘鏋?/p>
a
涓嶆樉钁楋紝鍒欏仠姝㈡楠岋紱
1.3
鍦ㄦ柟绋?/p>
1
锛夊拰
2
锛夐兘閫氳繃鏄捐憲鎬ф楠屽悗锛屾楠屾柟绋?/p>
3
锛夊嵆
y=c
鈥?/p>
x + bM + e
3
,
妫�楠?/p>
b
鐨勬樉
钁楁�э紝鑻?/p>
b
鏄捐憲锛?/p>
H0:b=0
琚嫆缁濓級
,
鍒欒鏄庝腑浠嬫晥搴旀樉钁椼�傛鏃舵楠?/p>
c
鈥?/p>
,
鑻?/p>
c
鈥欐樉钁楋紝鍒欒鏄?/p>
鏄?/p>
涓嶅畬鍏ㄤ腑浠?/p>
鏁堝簲锛涜嫢涓嶆樉钁楋紝鍒欒鏄庢槸
瀹屽叏涓粙
鏁堝簲锛?/p>
x
瀵?/p>
y
鐨勪綔鐢ㄥ畬鍏ㄩ�氳繃
M
鏉ュ疄鐜般�?/p>